Will another two big planes collide in 2024?

Question

Definitions

a big plane means a powered fixed-wing aircraft with wingspan greater or equals to 20m (around 65.6ft) that has been airborne within 365 days prior to the collision. Things that are included under the physical requirements: Bombardier Global 5000, any Boeing 737. Things that are not included under the physical requirements: a glider, a helicopter, Cessna Citation V, Cessna 172 Skyhawk. A part of the plane that is detached at the time to collision does not count. (e.g. a wheel that detaches from a plane and collide with another plane does not count)

two [objects] collide means physical contact between multiple objects.

will means happening after 2024-01-03T03:00:00Z

in 2024 means when the collision takes place, the local time is in the year 2024.

another is to exclude events in 2024 before this question's creation.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Jan 16, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.