Will any new countries join the EU before 2030?

Question

Resolves to YES if any country joins the EU before 2030. Leaving the EU after joining it will not affect the YES resolution. Otherwise, resolves NO.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/BradleyHe/which-of-these-countries-will-join-0703ad9fdedc)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 24% chance (30 traders, as of Jul 6, 2026).