Who will be Prime Minister of Canada after Mark Carney?

Question

Mark Carney is not a valid resolution outcome. Even if he secures another term, it will be seen as a continuation of his term rather than him serving as Prime Minister "after" himself.

The market will be resolved based on who becomes Prime Minister following Mark Carney's tenure.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Other, followed by Pierre Poilievre and Chrystia Freeland are most likely. See the market for live updates (22 traders, as of Feb 1, 2026).