If Trump wins, will we have permanent Daylight Savings Time?

Question

There is currently a bill stuck in committees in Congress that would make Daylight Savings Time permanent.

When it passed unanimously through the house in 2022, health advocates pointed out that it would be healthier to abolish Daylight Savings Time than to make it permanent.

Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections.

Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/BlueDragon/if-biden-wins-will-we-still-have-da)Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The creator has identified ambiguity in whether this resolves based on:

Abolishing daylight savings time completely

Making daylight savings time permanent (year-round)

The creator plans to change the title to clarify it refers to permanent daylight savings time. If there are objections, the market will resolve NA and be recreated with clearer criteria.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 25% chance (20 traders, as of Oct 4, 2026).