Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2060?

Question

The mass driver is a proposed structure designed to accelerate payloads to high speeds, enabling them to be launched into space more efficiently. Constructing a mass driver on the Moon could offer numerous benefits for future space infrastructure. It has the potential to reduce the cost of sending spacecraft propellant to space-based depots and pave the way for industrializing the Moon, making lunar mining a viable option.

Will we see this innovative technology become a reality on the lunar surface by the 60s?

[image]The same question with longer timeframe:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Berg/will-a-mass-driver-be-constructed-o)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 65% chance (32 traders, as of Mar 26, 2026).