Will Anthropic give the military unfettered access to Claude by Friday night?

Question

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(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/outcomes-of-the-anthropic-vs-us-gov)Update 2026-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Unfettered access" means the ability to use the model for any "lawful purposes" (consistent with language used by other providers in similar contexts).

The Friday night deadline refers to the stated deadline given to Anthropic. The market asks whether Anthropic will give in to this threat before facing the stated/possible consequences.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Mar 1, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.