Outcomes of the Anthropic vs. US government feud?

Question

[image][image]If the dispute is clearly over and nothing further is happening, remaining options resolve early. Unless stated otherwise, remaining open options resolves on July 1st.

See also:

@/Bayesian/will-anthropic-give-the-military-un

@/2b3o4o/what-will-happen-between-anthropic

@/bens/will-the-us-department-of-defense-c

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, The Department of War signs a deal to use OpenAI models instead , followed by The supply chain risk designation is officially issued and The Pentagon invokes the Defense Production Act are most likely. See the market for live updates (576 traders, as of Mar 16, 2026).