Outcomes of the Anthropic vs. US government feud?

Question

[image][image]If the dispute is clearly over and nothing further is happening, remaining options resolve early. Unless stated otherwise, remaining open options resolves on July 1st.

See also:

@/Bayesian/will-anthropic-give-the-military-un

@/2b3o4o/what-will-happen-between-anthropic

@/bens/will-the-us-department-of-defense-c

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, The Pentagon invokes the Defense Production Act, followed by Dario Amodei leaves or is removed from Anthropic and Autonomous weapon + surveillance Claude safeguards are removed for the Pentagon are most likely. See the market for live updates (587 traders, as of Apr 5, 2026).