Will China convene and mediate peace negotiations between representatives of Ukraine and Russia by the end of 2023?

Question

Xi Jinping has apparently attempted to offer a political settlement to the hostilities in Ukraine. This on the heels of secretly brokering normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Clearly Xi is getting ambitious globally, but does he have what it takes to broker a peace deal between Putin and Zelenskyy?

Resolves YES if China convenes representatives of Russia and Ukraine and exclusively mediates peace talks between the parties. Does not matter where it happens or the outcome, just that all three parties are acknowledged participants in active negotiations and no other parties like NATO, the US or EU also participate as mediators.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.