New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Question

The New York Times' lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft for alleged copyright infringement in training its AI models has raised critical questions about intellectual property in the age of artificial intelligence.

As of December 27, 2023 OpenAI has not yet responded publicly to the lawsuit. Both parties are likely engaging in legal strategy and potentially settlement negotiations. Similar lawsuits by authors against OpenAI are also pending, potentially influencing the legal landscape surrounding AI training and copyright.

This case could have significant implications for the future of AI development and the copyright rights of content creators.

This market focuses solely on the outcome of the initial lawsuit, excluding subsequent appeals. Resolves “The New York Times will win the lawsuit” if the outcome of the initial lawsuit is in favor of the NYT on any count.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, The case will settle out of court, followed by The New York Times will win the lawsuit and OpenAI will win the lawsuit are most likely. See the market for live updates (412 traders, as of Apr 22, 2026).