will I post 2 blogposts per day for all of April?

Question

will I publish 2 posts a day in april? As of 20th April, I have succeeded to do this 19 days, will I keep it up for the next 11 days too?

criteria:
- publishing 2x posts of 500 words online before 23:59:59.99 PST

- two separate unlinked blogs

-Posts can be edited after publishing, but it only counts if it was 500 words prior to publishing

if not both published before this time, then I will have failed. Time tracked by original posting times online, not the inkhaven portal.

I will not to trade on this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 95% chance (18 traders, as of Apr 29, 2026).