Will Satoshi Nakamoto tip Curtis Yarvin?

Question

https://graymirror.substack.com/p/us-60735250-and-the-roots-of-bitcoin (see the end of the post)

Resolves YES if any of the bitcoin addresses known to be Satoshi Nakamoto's (e.g. the genesis address) transfers any amount of bitcoin (even one satoshi would suffice) to Yarvin's address in the final section of the post linked above, within one year of the date of the post (so, by 20 Oct 2026 23:01:52 UTC)

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 2% chance (8 traders, as of May 20, 2026).