Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?

Question

Will Anthropic still exist as an independent company in 2030? This resolves as NO if Anthropic is acquired by another company or folds by 2030. It resolves YES if Anthropic has not been acquired and is still in existence by 2030 with a Board of Directors that is independent, or is Public without getting bought out.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 78% chance (14 traders, as of Apr 3, 2026).