Will Donald Trump invoke the Insurrection Act on April 20th?

Question

On January 20th, Donald Trump directed the Department of Defense and Department of Homeland Security to determine whether invoking the Insurrection Act of 1807 is necessary for border security and mass deportations​. This review period lasts 90 days and ends on April 20th. Invoking the Insurrection Act is similar to declaring martial law in that it allows the President of the United States to deploy the military domestically against American civilians.

Update 2025-04-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Time Zone Clarification

Time Zone: Eastern Standard Time (EST) will be used for determining the timing of the event.

Invocation Date: A 'Yes' outcome will only be recognized if the Insurrection Act is invoked specifically on April 20th, according to EST.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 21, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.