Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?

Question

Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (33 traders, as of Apr 9, 2026).