Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?

Question

Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.

Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves YES if an AI exfiltrates its own weights, as this counts as a cyberattack.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 25% chance (43 traders, as of Aug 18, 2026).