Defense granted a change in venue outside of Manhattan

Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case

Luigi Mangione makes or releases statement to the public

Nancy Grace call for Mangione’s conviction

Any member of Congress expresses specific support for Luigi Mangione (e.g. calling him a hero, saying he should not be convicted, etc)

Suspect makes a confession there is made public in court documents

Defense formally alleges evidence tampering or planting of evidence

Anyone else charged in connection with Brian Thompson’s murder

Case does not go to trial as a result of a plea

Pro-Mangione fan club assembles outside courthouse or at trial

We learn that, at some point in time, Mangione received inpatient psych treatment

Mangione reported to be in a new relationship

A public figure calls for the death penalty

Defense files motion to suppress evidence

Prosecution seeks additional charges other than those in the orginal indictment

Mangione's legal team files for dismissal of charges with prejudice

Prosecution alleges additional victims or attempted crimes

Defense claims insufficient evidence for probable cause

Bail hearing results in release with monitoring

Prosecution seeks to introduce evidence of prior bad acts

Defense claims violation of Miranda rights

Expert witnesses publicly dispute evidence validity

Prosecution offers plea deal that becomes public

Competency evaluation is sought by the defense

Mangione is found incompetent to stand trial at some point

This refers to Luigi Mangione’s New York murder trial. I will resolve these as they occur. Unless otherwise noted, all others will be resolved upon completion of the trial.

If/when trial date becomes more clear, I will open another market for events specifically occurring during the trial.

Please add options and I will do my best to ensure they are clear and not duplicative.

Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial. Specific resolution criteria:

Markets resolve no if the jury is sworn in or a plea is entered before the specified event occurs. The events that are possibilities to occurred during trial maybe added to

 Luigi Mangione Trial Prop Bets [Add Answers]

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 While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. 

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In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

If traders on this market independently add Ṁ550 of liquidity to this market, I will upgrade this market to Plus status