Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% or lower before Feb 1st 2027

Question

Resolves based on the Silver bulletin data: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, currently (Oct 12th 2026) at 37.3%. Only values after market creation count towards resolution.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 82% chance (8 traders, as of Oct 13, 2026).