Will Twitter (X) require login to view the latest tweets? (on April 1, 2024)

Question

At approximately market close, I will visit the following page in an Incognito window: twitter.com/elonmusk/

From that page, if I'm able to view Elon Musk's latest tweets without logging in and without any modal pop-ups preventing page interaction, the market resolves NO. Otherwise (if the page goes to a login wall, or if a modal login pop-up prevents me from normally interacting with the page, or if the tweets shown are out of date, etc.) it resolves YES.

If others are able to check at the exact close time and provide screenshots I will accept that as proof unless there's reason to believe it's fraudulent. Otherwise it will be based on whenever I check, even if that turns out to be a bit later than the exact close (could be up to 48 hours, though I'll try my best to be quicker than that).

Any changes to the login wall between now and close don't matter, just the end state at close time as described above.

Rules are similar to the previous version of this market, except that notably now this market will resolve YES even if there's no official login wall, if the logged-out version of the page shows tweets that are out of date.

Clarifications:

If Twitter no longer exists at market close this resolves N/A.

If Twitter ("X") is renamed etc. but otherwise seems to be a continuation of the same entity, that will not affect the resolution of this market.

In order to count as the "latest" tweets, they need to be out of date by less than 24 hours. If there's some kind of cache that delays the tweets a little, but less than 24 hours, I'll still count that as showing the most recent tweets.

Previous market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/A/will-twitter-x-have-a-login-wall-on)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Apr 2, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.