F1: Who will win the 2026 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix?

Question

Resolution criteria

The race takes place on May 3, 2026 at the Miami International Autodrome. The winner will be determined by the driver who crosses the finish line first after completing all race laps. Resolution will be based on the official FIA Formula 1 race results published on Formula1.com.

Background

After three rounds, Kimi Antonelli leads the championship with two wins (China and Japan), followed by George Russell and Charles Leclerc. The 2026 Miami Grand Prix will feature the F1 Sprint format, with Sprint Qualifying on Friday, the F1 Sprint race on Saturday, and the Grand Prix on Sunday. The 19-turn, 5.41km circuit is built around Hard Rock Stadium and provides a street circuit vibe similar to Melbourne's Albert Park.

Considerations

The 2026 season has experienced disruption, with Bahrain and Saudi Arabia races cancelled due to the war in Iran, creating a five-week gap before Miami. This extended break may affect team preparation and driver form heading into the race.

This description was generated by AI.

* Note that this style of betting market will contain the top 7 drivers in the WDC championship standings before the start of the Grand Prix.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 🇬🇧 George Russell (Mercedes-AMG Petronas), followed by 🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes-AMG Petronas) and 🇲🇨 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari HP) are most likely. See the market for live updates (17 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).