{"id":"snzPxko4s5Kx1hByeCat","creatorId":"946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2","creatorUsername":"egroj","creatorName":"JAAM","createdTime":1675263495286,"creatorAvatarUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjorge%2F6eta_wBPT5.png?alt=media&token=2d5f9149-6e77-4307-83f7-a770bebe9686","closeTime":1677646740000,"question":"Will the Mpox (monkeypox) outbreak in the US end in February 2023?","slug":"will-the-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-in-5eced7dd2677","url":"https://manifold.markets/egroj/will-the-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-in-5eced7dd2677","pool":{"NO":26.37302881364053,"YES":1357.9741338038143},"probability":0.0072854001347386526,"p":0.2742504111302521,"totalLiquidity":210,"outcomeType":"BINARY","mechanism":"cpmm-1","volume":2523.4876293235884,"volume24Hours":0,"isResolved":true,"resolution":"YES","resolutionTime":1677774998609,"resolutionProbability":0.01,"uniqueBettorCount":10,"lastUpdatedTime":1689277567690,"lastBetTime":1677632222102,"lastCommentTime":1689277563682,"token":"MANA","description":{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"text":"Resolves YES if the 7-day moving average of Mpox cases reported by the CDC (","type":"text"},{"text":"https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/mpx-trends.html","type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/mpx-trends.html","class":null,"target":"_blank"}}]},{"text":") is 0 on any day before March 1, 2023.","type":"text"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"hardBreak"},{"text":"The market closes on February 28, 2023, but data for the last days of the month will likely not be available until later, so I will resolve the market whenever data for February 28 is available. I will resolve with the first data available, be aware that CDC might adjust the count later (although this is less of a problem for a moving average).","type":"text"}]}]},"coverImageUrl":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FSZUphdXJ9o.png?alt=media&token=33305a0a-46b4-4bf5-8d67-75e90153ba27","groupSlugs":["monkeypox"],"textDescription":"Resolves YES if the 7-day moving average of Mpox cases reported by the CDC (https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/mpx-trends.html) is 0 on any day before March 1, 2023.\n\n\nThe market closes on February 28, 2023, but data for the last days of the month will likely not be available until later, so I will resolve the market whenever data for February 28 is available. I will resolve with the first data available, be aware that CDC might adjust the count later (although this is less of a problem for a moving average)."}