Caution: I don't think the result of this market should be taken at all seriously until numeric markets have been developed more. It's not a market: you can't sell (see https://manifold.markets/ScottLawrence/will-it-be-possible-to-sell-on-nume). Among other things, this strongly discourages participation: I'm locked in until the market resolves!


@ScottLawrence Thanks for the feedback! We'll see if we can prioritize selling.

Happy to move to yes/no but I want to give this a little time first.

Source: as defined by Baidi Wang/Axios similar to https://www.axios.com/local/philadelphia/2022/05/23/baby-formula-shortage-pennsylvania.

Warning