Which models will be visible on the ChatGPT default model picker on Dec 28, 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ473
Dec 29
99%
o1
99%
GPT-4o
74%
o1-mini
19%
any name starting with "GPT-4.5"
19%
o1-preview
15%
any name starting with "GPT-5"
12%
any name containing "Orion"

I'll use the model picker as it looks like on December 28, 2024 (Eastern time) from a new, empty chat. Different models will roll out to different people at different times, so what I see will count. I won't bet on this question.

Here's what the current model picker looks like:

Clarifications:

  • Models hidden behind "More models" do not count

  • Unless otherwise stated, model names need to match up to case, punctuation, and spacing. So o1-mini doesn't count for o1, but O1 or o-1 would.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules