How many lesswrong posts with embedded markets will show up on the lesswrong front page on 6/1 noon PST
4
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
0I will open lesswrong.com in an incognito window
Warning
Distributional numeric markets were introduced as an experimental feature and are now deprecated.

A trader bought Ṁ10 0 from 0.5% to 1.3%
A trader bought Ṁ5 5 from 0.5% to 0.7%
A trader bought Ṁ100 0 from 0.0% to 0.5%
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If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?216
If the EA forum wiki changes to allow much more informative summaries (rather than very short introductions) before 2023, will wiki pages get 5x as many views compared to the rest of the forum as they currently do by 2024?
In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?86%
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Vitalik funded me to make a Polis-style feature for Manifold and the LessWrong/EA Forum. In Jan 2024, what % of people will say in a twitter poll that this was a good idea?70%
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