MANIF🎃LD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAboutAdd funds(Sale 64% off)
Will Austin LessWrong's Winter Solstice event be held at Silas's place in 2024?
Basic
2
á¹€25
Jan 1
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

If Austin LW has its Solstice event at Silas's residence (whatever that is), resolve yes. If no Winter Solstice event, resolve no.

Previous year: https://manifold.markets/SilasBarta/will-austin-lws-winter-solstice-for

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
#Austin LessWrong 2024 Predicitons
Get
á¹€1,000
and
S3.00
Comments
2 Holders
2 Trades

Related questions

Will Me still be at her current job at winter solstice 2024?
45% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2030? *
86% chance
What number of sojourners from the 2024 Fall Equinox gathering will also attend the 2024 Winter Solstice gathering?
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2026? *
92% chance

Related questions

Will Me still be at her current job at winter solstice 2024?
45% chance
What number of sojourners from the 2024 Fall Equinox gathering will also attend the 2024 Winter Solstice gathering?
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2030? *
86% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2026? *
92% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout