Will the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter successfully range the Laser Retro-reflector Array on IM-1 Odysseus?
Basic
8
Ṁ189
2030
75%
chance

LRO is a NASA spacecraft orbiting the moon that carries a laser altimeter than can be used to range objects.

Information about LRA can be found here:

https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/experiment/display.action?id=IM-1-NOVA-03

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_retroreflectors_on_the_Moon

LRO has successfully ranged an LRA before, information can be found here:

https://science.nasa.gov/missions/lro/laser-instrument-on-nasas-lro-successfully-pings-indian-moon-lander/

Odysseus has landed on the moon, but is tilted on its side. Will LRO still be able to get a return from the LRA on the spacecraft? This market resolves YES if NASA reports a successful return from LRA, or NO if NASA reports that it's impossible, or the LRO mission ends.

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NASA says they expect this will happen in the most recent press conference, at ~+32 minutes.

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