Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the outcome of the second Test match between the Wallabies and the British & Irish Lions, scheduled for Saturday, July 26, 2025, at the Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG). The resolution will be determined as follows:

• Wallabies win by < 10 points: The Wallabies win the match with a margin of victory between 1 and 9 points.

• Wallabies win by ≥ 10 points: The Wallabies win the match with a margin of victory of 10 points or more.

• Lions win by < 20 points: The British & Irish Lions win the match with a margin of victory between 1 and 19 points.

• Lions win by ≥ 20 points: The British & Irish Lions win the match with a margin of victory of 20 points or more.

If the match ends in a draw, the market will resolve as "Other."

Official match results will be sourced from reputable sports news outlets and the official websites of Rugby Australia and the British & Irish Lions.

Background

The British & Irish Lions are touring Australia in 2025, with a series of matches culminating in three Test matches against the Wallabies. The second Test is set to take place at the MCG, a venue with a capacity exceeding 100,000, making it one of the largest stadiums in the world. (en.wikipedia.org)

In the first Test held on July 19, 2025, the Lions secured a victory over the Wallabies with a score of 27-19. The Wallabies showed resilience by narrowing the margin in the final quarter, but the Lions' early dominance set the tone for the match. (abc.net.au)

For the upcoming second Test, the Wallabies are expected to bolster their squad with the return of key players Rob Valetini and Will Skelton, both of whom missed the first Test due to calf injuries. Their inclusion aims to strengthen Australia's forward pack and enhance their competitiveness against the Lions. (reuters.com)

Considerations

The MCG's large capacity and historical significance may influence team performances and fan engagement. Additionally, the return of Valetini and Skelton could impact the Wallabies' strategy and effectiveness in the second Test.