Will there be a right-wing terrorist attack with at least 10 deaths in the United States during 2022?
34
18
120
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

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sold Ṁ24 of YES

I had to get out of this market because I felt bad about having money on this.

bought Ṁ100 of YES
bought Ṁ5 of NO

I feel like this shouldn't count towards a YES resolution on the grounds that it's obvious that @Nostradamnedus meant "after the creation of this market".

But, uh... this question really needs some precise resolution criteria. I dunno if y'all have noticed (/s), but lots of people have incentives to distort motivations of perpetrators of mass violence in an attempt to get them re-categorized "left" or "right" or "not actually a terrorist, just mentally ill".

Do mass shootings count?

Absolute state of “muh right wing terrorism”

🧐

🤔

FBI <—> “right wing terrorists”

Dumb market, all the recent “massacres” have been of a rather different persuasion…but have fun straining your eyes at 1/1000th of the murder rate for fun 🫥

@Gigacasting Crawl back to whatever hole you came from.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Are you counting Islamic terrorism as "right wing"?