This refers to the next general election to take place electing representatives to the UK parliament following December 2019.
Market resolves 100% to the party with the winning candidate.
Please submit answers in the form of a political party, not an individual. If you wish to submit an individual who will run as an independent, please submit your answer in the form: 'Independent: [person's name]'. If anybody submits 'Independent' as an answer, it will not resolve YES, even if an independent wins.
'Labour' and 'Labour and Co-operative' will be treated interchangeably.
I may bet in this market.
1,000
3.00the latest polling, which factors in local demographics and voting habits in specific seats, predicts Denyer will defeat Debbonaire in the new constituency. The “multi-level regression and post-stratification” approach, which successfully predicted the 2017 and 2019 elections, suggests the Green party will pick up just over 50% of votes in Bristol Central, with Labour taking almost 40%.