Will the US economy grow in 2023?
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1.9K
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resolved Jan 28
Resolved
YES

Real GDP, according to BEA advance estimate in Jan '24.

Closing date/time is estimated, and will update to reflect the scheduled data release time.

https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule

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⚠Unreceptive to pings ; AFK Creator

📢Resolved to YES Per BEA

predicted YES

@NickAllen don't forget to resolve

predicted YES

resolve please

predicted YES
predicted YES

resolve?

predicted YES

@sylv Q4 GDP numbers come out on the 25th of this month. It is possible although exceedingly unlikely that there is a massive negative growth print. You can check my markets to see what predictions for it are like(here’s a sample)

predicted YES

Salem center markets seem to estimate slightly above 2% real GDP growth in Q1.

Why is this not at ~95%? Is the US economy at risk for shrinking? (??)

@YonatanCale (A friend is getting me up to date. Sorry, I'm not good at this yet!)

@YonatanCale no worries. The "real GDP" aspect requires that the growth rate has to be higher than the inflation rate to count, so sufficiently high inflation could cause this to resolve no.

Another path would be a severe recession or depression or whatever the euphemism will be for the next big one.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@YonatanCale Because the only way to stop inflation is to tighten money enough to cause a recession

bought Ṁ10 of YES

I'll make you scream with pleasure,
Underneath the covers, we'll treasure,
Every moment spent together,
As I make you come in tether.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

I'll make you scream with pleasure,
Underneath the covers, we'll treasure,
Every moment spent together,
As I make you come in tether.

@Mason Bot poetry unexpectedly off-topic/off-color here, doesn't it seem?

@Mason yeah lol what???
What prompted this???