Will there be a 'commitment' market type on Manifold on 2024-01-01?

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footgun avatar

What is a commitment market type?

NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Young
is predicting NO at 29%

@footgun Prediction markets can be used as commitment devices if someone only buys shares of the outcome they want to make happen. You can do that with the YES/NO market type right now, but there's nothing stopping you from selling those shares or stopping other people from buying them. A market that only allows the creator to buy YES and others to buy NO would work as a better commitment device than what Manifold currently has available. The devs have discussed adding something like this in the past, but AFAIK they haven't actually worked on it. It seems relatively simple to add but not very in line with Manifold's mission.