Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
3
200Ṁ95
2029
66%
BSW
54%
FDP
52%
AfD
50%
CDU
50%
CSU
46%
Grüne
46%
Die Linke
34%
SPD

This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.

For each party listed:

  • Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Bundestag compared to the number of seats it won in the 2025 federal election

  • Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.

If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.

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