China's Tianwen-2 mission launched in May 2025 to collect samples from near-Earth asteroid 469219 Kamoʻoalewa. The spacecraft is expected to rendezvous with the asteroid in 2026 and attempt sample collection using multiple landing and sampling technologies.

Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if Tianwen-2 successfully collects and secures asteroid samples (confirmed by Chinese space agency announcements or international space tracking sources) before June 30, 2026. Check mission updates at http://www.cnsa.gov.cn/ and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tianwen-2

Sources:

• Chinese National Space Administration: http://www.cnsa.gov.cn/

• Wikipedia Tianwen-2: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tianwen-2