Will Nicola Sturgeon be charged with a fraud-related crime by 19 July 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ300
2025
15%
chance

There is a police investigation ongoing into possible fundraising fraud in the SNP. Surgeon was arrested in June and released without charge. Will she be charged?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Branchform

(She needs to be charged with something related to the fraud case for it to count.)

Being charged on 19th July counts. UK time.

I will not bet in this market just in case there ends up being a judgement call, but I expect it'll be clear cut.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules