Will the world be more religious on 21st April 2029 than on 21st April 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ802029
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to the statistics I could find, around 84% of people globally are religious on 21st April 2024.
This market resolves to “yes” if the mainstream statistics I can find suggest that more than 84% of people globally are religious on April 21st 2029.
“No” of fewer than 84% of people globally are religious on that date.
“N/a” if reliable statistics cannot be found or if they disagree with each other as to whether religiosity has increased or decreased.
I will not bet on this market to avoid motivated reasoning.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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