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Will RFK JR.'s US Search Interest reach a new 90 day high within a week of the NYT story about his literal brain worm?10% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Can Democrats keep the Senate if Joe Biden loses?

55%

If Biden beats Trump, Jon Tester wins the Montana Senate race

15%

If Biden loses to Trump, Jon Tester wins the Montana Senate race

60%

If Biden beats Trump, Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate Race

17%

If Biden loses to Trump, Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate Race

#2024 US Presidential Election

#Democratic Party

Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (Currently Trump +1.3%)

25%

May

23%

June

15%

Not before Election Day

15%

July

See 7 more answers

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will weed / marijuana be rescheduled / legalized before election day?45% chance

Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? [ACX 2024] 58% chance

#ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

What will happen to Columbia University President Minouche Shafik as a result of using the NYPD on students?

71%

Remains President

30%

Resigns or Fired

#Colleges & Universities

#Israel-Hamas Conflict

Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? [ACX 2024] 76% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end?

74%

Guilty (of at least one crime) by jury verdict

23%

Mistrial (without any guilty counts)

2%

Not guilty (on all counts) by jury verdict

0.8%

Plea bargain

See 1 more answer

#Trial of the Century

Which party will win the US Presidency in Arizona?

49%

Democratic Party

51%

Republican Party

0%

Other

#2024 US Presidential Election

#2024 US Election

Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? [ACX 2024]72% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election